Pre-tourney Rankings
Morehead St.
Ohio Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.9#230
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#212
Pace74.8#41
Improvement-2.8#287

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#227
Improvement+2.2#72

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#228
Improvement-5.0#339
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 173   LIU Brooklyn W 77-74 37%     1 - 0 +2.6 -8.1 +10.4
  Nov 12, 2012 53   @ Maryland L 45-67 7%     1 - 1 -9.3 -19.1 +9.6
  Nov 18, 2012 164   Lafayette W 88-74 47%     2 - 1 +10.9 -2.9 +11.6
  Nov 21, 2012 42   @ Kentucky L 70-81 6%     2 - 2 +2.5 +0.9 +1.9
  Nov 26, 2012 217   Norfolk St. W 73-67 59%     3 - 2 -0.3 -6.5 +5.7
  Nov 28, 2012 224   @ Marshall L 67-70 36%     3 - 3 -3.3 -11.6 +8.5
  Dec 01, 2012 129   @ Wright St. L 57-66 18%     3 - 4 -3.3 -4.6 +0.7
  Dec 05, 2012 94   North Dakota St. L 57-69 29%     3 - 5 -10.2 -15.4 +5.5
  Dec 08, 2012 96   Indiana St. W 71-63 29%     4 - 5 +9.7 +0.5 +9.1
  Dec 19, 2012 247   @ South Dakota L 75-85 42%     4 - 6 -11.8 -8.1 -3.0
  Dec 21, 2012 94   @ North Dakota St. L 49-69 13%     4 - 7 -11.8 -12.9 -1.2
  Dec 28, 2012 59   Southern Miss L 58-94 20%     4 - 8 -31.0 -16.1 -13.5
  Jan 03, 2013 306   SIU Edwardsville W 68-64 80%     5 - 8 1 - 0 -8.7 -9.6 +0.9
  Jan 05, 2013 271   Eastern Illinois W 65-50 71%     6 - 8 2 - 0 +5.2 -7.9 +14.8
  Jan 09, 2013 314   @ Austin Peay L 81-84 OT 61%     6 - 9 2 - 1 -9.7 -3.9 -5.5
  Jan 12, 2013 122   @ Eastern Kentucky L 52-59 17%     6 - 10 2 - 2 -0.8 -23.6 +23.0
  Jan 17, 2013 225   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 75-59 37%     7 - 10 3 - 2 +15.6 +2.3 +14.0
  Jan 19, 2013 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 88-74 75%     8 - 10 4 - 2 +3.1 +3.0 -0.8
  Jan 24, 2013 50   Belmont L 63-64 16%     8 - 11 4 - 3 +5.6 -7.0 +12.6
  Jan 26, 2013 166   Tennessee St. W 78-69 47%     9 - 11 5 - 3 +5.8 +4.9 +1.2
  Jan 31, 2013 50   @ Belmont L 74-93 7%     9 - 12 5 - 4 -5.9 -1.3 -2.6
  Feb 02, 2013 213   @ Jacksonville St. L 59-70 33%     9 - 13 5 - 5 -10.4 -11.7 +0.7
  Feb 09, 2013 122   Eastern Kentucky L 47-68 36%     9 - 14 5 - 6 -21.3 -21.2 -4.2
  Feb 14, 2013 213   Jacksonville St. W 85-81 57%     10 - 14 6 - 6 -1.9 +6.6 -8.5
  Feb 16, 2013 278   Tennessee Tech W 65-63 73%     11 - 14 7 - 6 -8.2 -10.2 +2.1
  Feb 20, 2013 139   Murray St. L 100-106 2OT 41%     11 - 15 7 - 7 -7.6 -3.1 -2.7
  Feb 23, 2013 206   @ Oakland L 79-82 OT 32%     11 - 16 -2.0 -5.5 +3.8
  Feb 28, 2013 166   @ Tennessee St. W 101-100 25%     12 - 16 8 - 7 +4.2 +16.4 -12.3
  Mar 02, 2013 278   @ Tennessee Tech L 66-72 49%     12 - 17 8 - 8 -9.7 -4.7 -5.2
  Mar 06, 2013 334   Tennessee Martin W 73-66 83%     13 - 17 -7.1 -7.3 +0.2
  Mar 07, 2013 166   Tennessee St. L 75-88 35%     13 - 18 -13.0 -4.5 -7.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 18.0 8.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 100.0% 100.0
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%